What are LSG's chances of qualifying for the IPL 2025 playoffs?

LSG
4W 8L 0NR (#10)
Odds: 0.0%
MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED: Cannot reach the playoffs

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What are the qualification chances of other teams?

RCB
8W 4L 0NR (#1)
Odds: 99.5%

Path to Qualification - Win:

1/2remaining

Gap to Target: 2 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

1/2remaining
84.3%chance

Strong chance with good results in remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs SRH(#67 on 22 May 2026)
  • STDvs PBKS(#61 on 17 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Regular Stakes
GT
8W 4L 0NR (#2)
Odds: 99.3%

Path to Qualification - Win:

1/2remaining

Gap to Target: 2 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

1/2remaining
78.7%chance

Strong chance with good results in remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • STDvs KKR(#60 on 16 May 2026)
  • STDvs CSK(#66 on 21 May 2026)
Regular Stakes
SRH
7W 5L 0NR (#3)
Odds: 81.5%

Path to Qualification - Win:

2/2remaining

Gap to Target: 4 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/2remaining
22.7%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs RCB(#67 on 22 May 2026)
  • STDvs CSK(#63 on 18 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Regular Stakes
RR
6W 5L 0NR (#5)
Odds: 45.9%

Path to Qualification - Win:

3/3remaining

Gap to Target: 6 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

3/3remaining
5.3%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • KEYvs DC(#62 on 17 May 2026)
  • KEYvs LSG(#64 on 19 May 2026)
  • KEYvs MI(#69 on 24 May 2026)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
PBKS
6W 5L 1NR (#4)
Odds: 41.2%

Path to Qualification - Win:

2/2remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/2remaining
7.0%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • KEYvs LSG(#68 on 23 May 2026)
  • OPPvs RCB(#61 on 17 May 2026)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

RCB: Lose 2+
GT: Lose 2+
SRH: Lose 1+
RR: Lose 1+
CSK
6W 6L 0NR (#6)
Odds: 26.1%

Path to Qualification - Win:

2/2remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/2remaining
2.0%chance

Top 2 finish not possible without other favourable results

Key Matchups

  • OPPvs SRH(#63 on 18 May 2026)
  • OPPvs GT(#66 on 21 May 2026)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

SRH: Lose 2+
PBKS: Lose 1+
RR: Lose 2+
RCB: Tie if lose 2+ (NRR)
GT: Tie if lose 2+ (NRR)
NRR Status: Current 0.027 vs Target 0.082 (gap: 0.055)
Required Performance: Win by ~6 runs when batting first, or with ~1 overs to spare when chasing
KKR
4W 6L 1NR (#8)
Odds: 5.9%

Path to Qualification - Win:

3/3remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

3/3remaining
0.0%chance

Top 2 finish not possible without other favourable results

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs DC(#70 on 24 May 2026)
  • OPPvs GT(#60 on 16 May 2026)
  • STDvs MI(#65 on 20 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)
Regular Stakes

External Dependencies

SRH: Lose 2+
PBKS: Lose 2+
RR: Lose 2+
CSK: Lose 1+
NRR Status: Current -0.198 vs Target 0.082 (gap: 0.280)
Required Performance: Win by ~19 runs when batting first, or with ~1 overs to spare when chasing
DC
5W 7L 0NR (#7)
Odds: 0.5%
PRACTICALLY ELIMINATED: Technically possible but highly unlikely

Path to Qualification - Win:

2/2remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Even with all wins, needs specific external results to qualify.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

Top 2 finish not possible based on current standings

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs KKR(#70 on 24 May 2026)
  • OPPvs RR(#62 on 17 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 2+
RR: Lose 3+
CSK: Lose 2+
KKR: Lose 1+
SRH: Tie if lose 2+ (NRR)
NRR Status: Current -0.993 vs Target 0.082 (gap: 1.075)
Required Performance: Requires significant NRR improvement that may be difficult to achieve consistently
MI
4W 8L 0NR (#9)
Odds: 0.0%
MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED: Cannot reach the playoffs
Data last updated: 5/15/2026, 5:46:39 PM