CrickonomicsIPL 2025 Predictor

What are LSG's chances of qualifying for the IPL 2025 playoffs?

LSG
5W 6L 0NR (#7)
Odds: 0.2%
PRACTICALLY ELIMINATED: Technically possible but highly unlikely

Path to Qualification

Team must win all 3 remaining matches AND needs these external results:

Results needed for outright qualification:
  • MI (7W 5L) must lose at least 2 of their 2 remaining games to be overtaken on points.
  • DC (6W 4L) must lose at least 2 of their 2 remaining games to be overtaken on points.
  • KKR (5W 6L) must lose at least 0 of their 2 remaining games to be overtaken on points.
  • SRH (3W 7L) must lose at least 0 of their 3 remaining games to be overtaken on points.
  • RR (3W 9L) must lose at least 0 of their 2 remaining games to be overtaken on points.
  • CSK (3W 9L) must lose at least 0 of their 2 remaining games to be overtaken on points.
Results needed to qualify via a tiebreaker (NRR):
  • GT (8W 3L) can be tied on points if they lose at least 3 of their 3 remaining games; NRR will decide who qualifies.
  • RCB (8W 3L) can be tied on points if they lose at least 3 of their 3 remaining games; NRR will decide who qualifies.
  • PBKS (7W 3L) can be tied on points if they lose at least 2 of their 2 remaining games; NRR will decide who qualifies.
NRR Status: Current -0.469 vs Target 1.156 (gap: 1.625)
Required Performance: Requires significant NRR improvement that may be difficult to achieve consistently

Path to Qualification - Win:

3/3remaining

Gap to Target: 6 points

Technically possible but practically eliminated. Requires virtually all results to align.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

Top 2 finish not possible based on current standings

Key Matchups

  • OPPvs RCB(#59 on 09 May 2025)
  • OPPvs GT(#65 on 14 May 2025)
  • STDvs SRH(#70 on 18 May 2025)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)
Regular Stakes
NRR Status: Current -0.469 vs Target 1.156 (gap: 1.625)
Required Performance: Requires significant NRR improvement that may be difficult to achieve consistently

Want to see how specific match results change the playoff picture? Try the interactive predictor!

What are the qualification chances of other teams?

GT
8W 3L 0NR (#1)
Effectively Qualified
Odds: 98.1%
EFFECTIVELY QUALIFIED: Very high chance of making playoffs (98.1%)

Path to Qualification - Win:

0*/3remaining

Already at qualification threshold: awaiting confirmation from other results. Theoretically can qualify with current points.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/3remaining
78.2%chance

Strong chance with good results in remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • KEYvs LSG(#65 on 14 May 2025)
  • KEYvs CSK(#69 on 18 May 2025)
  • STDvs DC(#62 on 11 May 2025)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
Regular Stakes
NRR Status: Current 0.793 vs Target 1.156 (gap: 0.363)
Required Performance: Win by ~24 runs when batting first, or with ~2 overs to spare when chasing
RCB
8W 3L 0NR (#2)
Effectively Qualified
Odds: 97.7%
EFFECTIVELY QUALIFIED: Very high chance of making playoffs (97.7%)

Path to Qualification - Win:

0*/3remaining

Already at qualification threshold: awaiting confirmation from other results. Theoretically can qualify with current points.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/3remaining
66.3%chance

Strong chance with good results in remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • KEYvs LSG(#59 on 09 May 2025)
  • KEYvs SRH(#64 on 13 May 2025)
  • KEYvs KKR(#68 on 17 May 2025)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
NRR Status: Current 0.482 vs Target 1.156 (gap: 0.674)
Required Performance: Win by ~45 runs when batting first, or with ~3 overs to spare when chasing
PBKS
7W 3L 2NR (#3)
Effectively Qualified
Odds: 86.1%
EFFECTIVELY QUALIFIED: Very high chance of making playoffs (86.1%)

Path to Qualification - Win:

0*/2remaining

Already at qualification threshold: awaiting confirmation from other results. Theoretically can qualify with current points.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/2remaining
30.0%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs MI(#61 on 11 May 2025)
  • KEYvs RR(#67 on 16 May 2025)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
NRR Status: Current 0.376 vs Target 1.156 (gap: 0.780)
Required Performance: Win by ~78 runs when batting first, or with ~4 overs to spare when chasing
MI
7W 5L 0NR (#4)
Odds: 77.5%

Path to Qualification - Win:

1/2remaining

Gap to Target: 2 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/2remaining
17.9%chance

Top 2 finish not possible without other favourable results

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs PBKS(#61 on 11 May 2025)
  • STDvs DC(#66 on 15 May 2025)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Regular Stakes
DC
6W 4L 2NR (#5)
Odds: 40.5%

Path to Qualification - Win:

1/2remaining

Gap to Target: 2 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/2remaining
7.6%chance

Top 2 finish not possible without other favourable results

Key Matchups

  • OPPvs GT(#62 on 11 May 2025)
  • OPPvs MI(#66 on 15 May 2025)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)
NRR Status: Current 0.362 vs Target 1.156 (gap: 0.794)
Required Performance: Win by ~79 runs when batting first, or with ~4 overs to spare when chasing
KKR
5W 6L 1NR (#6)
Odds: 0.0%
PRACTICALLY ELIMINATED: Technically possible but highly unlikely

Path to Qualification - Win:

2/2remaining

Gap to Target: 5 points

Technically possible but practically eliminated. Requires virtually all results to align.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

Top 2 finish not possible based on current standings

Key Matchups

  • OPPvs RCB(#68 on 17 May 2025)
  • STDvs SRH(#60 on 10 May 2025)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)
Regular Stakes

External Dependencies

MI: Lose 2+
DC: Lose 2+
LSG: Lose 1+
NRR Status: Current 0.193 vs Target 1.156 (gap: 0.963)
Required Performance: Win by ~96 runs when batting first, or with ~5 overs to spare when chasing
SRH
3W 7L 1NR (#8)
Odds: 0.0%
MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED: Cannot reach the playoffs
RR
3W 9L 0NR (#9)
Odds: 0.0%
MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED: Cannot reach the playoffs
CSK
3W 9L 0NR (#10)
Odds: 0.0%
MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED: Cannot reach the playoffs
Data last updated: 5/8/2025, 4:27:35 PM