What are MI's chances of qualifying for the IPL 2025 playoffs?
Current Qualification Points Target: 18 points
Mumbai IndiansMI
4W 8L 0NR (#9)Odds of Qualifying: 0.0%
MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED: Cannot reach the playoffs
Want to see how specific match results change the playoff picture? Try the interactive predictor!
What are the qualification chances of other teams?
Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB
8W 4L 0NR (#1)Odds of Qualifying: 99.4%
Path to Qualification - Win:
1/2remaining
Gap to Target: 2 points
Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:
1/2remaining
82.1%chance
Strong chance with good results in remaining matches
Key Matchups
- 4PTvs SRH(#67 on 22 May 2026)
- STDvs PBKS(#61 on 17 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Regular Stakes
Gujarat TitansGT
8W 4L 0NR (#2)Odds of Qualifying: 97.7%
Path to Qualification - Win:
1/2remaining
Gap to Target: 2 points
Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:
1/2remaining
72.7%chance
Strong chance with good results in remaining matches
Key Matchups
- KEYvs KKR(#60 on 16 May 2026)
- STDvs CSK(#66 on 21 May 2026)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
Regular Stakes
Sunrisers HyderabadSRH
7W 5L 0NR (#3)Odds of Qualifying: 76.4%
Path to Qualification - Win:
2/2remaining
Gap to Target: 4 points
Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:
2/2remaining
21.9%chance
Requires winning all remaining matches
Key Matchups
- 4PTvs RCB(#67 on 22 May 2026)
- STDvs CSK(#63 on 18 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Regular Stakes
Chennai Super KingsCSK
6W 5L 0NR (#5)Odds of Qualifying: 49.4%
Path to Qualification - Win:
3/3remaining
Gap to Target: 6 points
Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:
3/3remaining
12.4%chance
Requires winning all remaining matches
Key Matchups
- KEYvs LSG(#59 on 15 May 2026)
- OPPvs SRH(#63 on 18 May 2026)
- OPPvs GT(#66 on 21 May 2026)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)
Rajasthan RoyalsRR
6W 5L 0NR (#6)Odds of Qualifying: 37.6%
Path to Qualification - Win:
3/3remaining
Gap to Target: 6 points
Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:
3/3remaining
4.7%chance
Requires winning all remaining matches
Key Matchups
- KEYvs DC(#62 on 17 May 2026)
- KEYvs LSG(#64 on 19 May 2026)
- KEYvs MI(#69 on 24 May 2026)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
NRR Status: Current 0.082 vs Target 0.185 (gap: 0.103)
Required Performance: Win by ~7 runs when batting first, or with ~1 overs to spare when chasing
NRR Status: Current 0.082 vs Target 0.185 (gap: 0.103)
Required Performance: Win by ~7 runs when batting first, or with ~1 overs to spare when chasing
Punjab KingsPBKS
6W 5L 1NR (#4)Odds of Qualifying: 35.6%
Path to Qualification - Win:
2/2remaining
Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.
Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:
2/2remaining
6.2%chance
Requires winning all remaining matches
Key Matchups
- KEYvs LSG(#68 on 23 May 2026)
- OPPvs RCB(#61 on 17 May 2026)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)
External Dependencies
RCB: Lose 2+
GT: Lose 2+
SRH: Lose 1+
CSK: Lose 1+
RR: Lose 1+
Kolkata Knight RidersKKR
4W 6L 1NR (#8)Odds of Qualifying: 3.7%
Path to Qualification - Win:
3/3remaining
Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.
Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:
3/3remaining
0.0%chance
Top 2 finish not possible without other favourable results
Key Matchups
- 4PTvs DC(#70 on 24 May 2026)
- OPPvs GT(#60 on 16 May 2026)
- STDvs MI(#65 on 20 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)
Regular Stakes
External Dependencies
SRH: Lose 2+
PBKS: Lose 2+
CSK: Lose 2+
RR: Lose 2+
NRR Status: Current -0.198 vs Target 0.185 (gap: 0.383)
Required Performance: Win by ~26 runs when batting first, or with ~2 overs to spare when chasing
NRR Status: Current -0.198 vs Target 0.185 (gap: 0.383)
Required Performance: Win by ~26 runs when batting first, or with ~2 overs to spare when chasing
Delhi CapitalsDC
5W 7L 0NR (#7)Odds of Qualifying: 0.4%
PRACTICALLY ELIMINATED: Technically possible but highly unlikely
Path to Qualification - Win:
2/2remaining
Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.
Technically possible but practically eliminated. Requires virtually all results to align.
Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:
Top 2 finish not possible based on current standings
Key Matchups
- 4PTvs KKR(#70 on 24 May 2026)
- OPPvs RR(#62 on 17 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)
External Dependencies
PBKS: Lose 2+
CSK: Lose 3+
RR: Lose 3+
KKR: Lose 1+
SRH: Tie if lose 2+ (NRR)
NRR Status: Current -0.993 vs Target 0.185 (gap: 1.178)
Required Performance: Requires significant NRR improvement that may be difficult to achieve consistently
NRR Status: Current -0.993 vs Target 0.185 (gap: 1.178)
Required Performance: Requires significant NRR improvement that may be difficult to achieve consistently
Lucknow Super GiantsLSG
3W 8L 0NR (#10)Odds of Qualifying: 0.0%
MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED: Cannot reach the playoffs
Data last updated: 5/14/2026, 5:52:24 PM