What are RCB's chances of qualifying for the IPL 2025 playoffs?

Current Qualification Points Target: 18 points

Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB

6W 4L 0NR (#3)

Odds of Qualifying: 69.6%

Path to Qualification - Win:

3/4remaining

Gap to Target: 6 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

3/4remaining

36.1%chance

Possible with strong finish in remaining matches

Key Matchups

4PTvs PBKS(#61 on 17 May 2026)
4PTvs SRH(#67 on 22 May 2026)
KEYvs MI(#54 on 10 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Must-win (Weak Opp)

Want to see how specific match results change the playoff picture? Try the interactive predictor!

What are the qualification chances of other teams?

Sunrisers HyderabadSRH

7W 4L 0NR (#1)

Odds of Qualifying: 85.5%

Path to Qualification - Win:

3/3remaining

Gap to Target: 4 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/3remaining

53.1%chance

Strong chance with good results in remaining matches

Key Matchups

4PTvs RCB(#67 on 22 May 2026)
STDvs GT(#56 on 12 May 2026)
STDvs CSK(#63 on 18 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Regular Stakes

Punjab KingsPBKS

6W 3L 1NR (#2)

Odds of Qualifying: 82.1%

Path to Qualification - Win:

3/4remaining

Gap to Target: 5 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/4remaining

52.1%chance

Strong chance with good results in remaining matches

Key Matchups

4PTvs RCB(#61 on 17 May 2026)
KEYvs DC(#55 on 11 May 2026)
KEYvs MI(#58 on 14 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Must-win (Weak Opp)

Rajasthan RoyalsRR

6W 4L 0NR (#4)

Odds of Qualifying: 66.2%

Path to Qualification - Win:

3/4remaining

Gap to Target: 6 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

3/4remaining

27.8%chance

Possible with strong finish in remaining matches

Key Matchups

4PTvs GT(#52 on 09 May 2026)
KEYvs DC(#62 on 17 May 2026)
KEYvs LSG(#64 on 19 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Must-win (Weak Opp)

Gujarat TitansGT

6W 4L 0NR (#5)

Odds of Qualifying: 47.9%

Path to Qualification - Win:

4/4remaining

Gap to Target: 6 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

3/4remaining

20.5%chance

Possible with strong finish in remaining matches

Key Matchups

4PTvs RR(#52 on 09 May 2026)
4PTvs CSK(#66 on 21 May 2026)
OPPvs SRH(#56 on 12 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Opportunity (Strong Opp)

NRR Status: Current -0.147 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 0.657)

Required Performance: Win by ~33 runs when batting first, or with ~2 overs to spare when chasing

NRR Status: Current -0.147 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 0.657)

Required Performance: Win by ~33 runs when batting first, or with ~2 overs to spare when chasing

Chennai Super KingsCSK

5W 5L 0NR (#6)

Odds of Qualifying: 28.2%

Path to Qualification - Win:

4/4remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

4/4remaining

6.7%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

4PTvs GT(#66 on 21 May 2026)
KEYvs LSG(#53 on 10 May 2026)
KEYvs LSG(#59 on 15 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Must-win (Weak Opp)

External Dependencies

SRH: Lose 2+

PBKS: Lose 2+

RCB: Lose 2+

RR: Lose 2+

GT: Lose 2+

NRR Status: Current 0.151 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 0.359)

Required Performance: Win by ~18 runs when batting first, or with ~1 overs to spare when chasing

NRR Status: Current 0.151 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 0.359)

Required Performance: Win by ~18 runs when batting first, or with ~1 overs to spare when chasing

Kolkata Knight RidersKKR

4W 5L 1NR (#7)

Odds of Qualifying: 20.4%

Path to Qualification - Win:

4/4remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

4/4remaining

3.8%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

4PTvs MI(#65 on 20 May 2026)
4PTvs DC(#70 on 24 May 2026)
OPPvs RCB(#57 on 13 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

SRH: Lose 2+

PBKS: Lose 3+

RCB: Lose 2+

RR: Lose 2+

GT: Lose 2+

CSK: Lose 1+

NRR Status: Current -0.169 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 0.679)

Required Performance: Win by ~34 runs when batting first, or with ~2 overs to spare when chasing

NRR Status: Current -0.169 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 0.679)

Required Performance: Win by ~34 runs when batting first, or with ~2 overs to spare when chasing

Delhi CapitalsDC

4W 7L 0NR (#8)

Odds of Qualifying: 0.0%

PRACTICALLY ELIMINATED: Technically possible but highly unlikely

Path to Qualification - Win:

3/3remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Technically possible but practically eliminated. Requires virtually all results to align.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

Top 2 finish not possible based on current standings

Key Matchups

4PTvs KKR(#70 on 24 May 2026)
OPPvs PBKS(#55 on 11 May 2026)
OPPvs RR(#62 on 17 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 4+

RCB: Lose 4+

RR: Lose 4+

GT: Lose 4+

CSK: Lose 3+

KKR: Lose 2+

MI: Lose 1+

LSG: Lose 1+

SRH: Tie if lose 3+ (NRR)

NRR Status: Current -1.154 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 1.664)

Required Performance: Requires significant NRR improvement that may be difficult to achieve consistently

NRR Status: Current -1.154 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 1.664)

Required Performance: Requires significant NRR improvement that may be difficult to achieve consistently

Mumbai IndiansMI

3W 7L 0NR (#9)

Odds of Qualifying: 0.0%

PRACTICALLY ELIMINATED: Technically possible but highly unlikely

Path to Qualification - Win:

4/4remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Technically possible but practically eliminated. Requires virtually all results to align.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

Top 2 finish not possible based on current standings

Key Matchups

4PTvs KKR(#65 on 20 May 2026)
OPPvs RCB(#54 on 10 May 2026)
OPPvs PBKS(#58 on 14 May 2026)

4-point game (Direct Rival)

Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 4+

RCB: Lose 4+

RR: Lose 4+

GT: Lose 4+

CSK: Lose 3+

KKR: Lose 2+

DC: Lose 1+

LSG: Lose 1+

SRH: Tie if lose 3+ (NRR)

NRR Status: Current -0.649 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 1.159)

Required Performance: Win by ~58 runs when batting first, or with ~3 overs to spare when chasing

NRR Status: Current -0.649 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 1.159)

Required Performance: Win by ~58 runs when batting first, or with ~3 overs to spare when chasing

Lucknow Super GiantsLSG

3W 7L 0NR (#10)

Odds of Qualifying: 0.0%

PRACTICALLY ELIMINATED: Technically possible but highly unlikely

Path to Qualification - Win:

4/4remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Technically possible but practically eliminated. Requires virtually all results to align.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

Top 2 finish not possible based on current standings

Key Matchups

OPPvs CSK(#53 on 10 May 2026)
OPPvs CSK(#59 on 15 May 2026)
OPPvs RR(#64 on 19 May 2026)

Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 4+

RCB: Lose 4+

RR: Lose 4+

GT: Lose 4+

CSK: Lose 3+

KKR: Lose 2+

DC: Lose 1+

MI: Lose 1+

SRH: Tie if lose 3+ (NRR)

NRR Status: Current -0.934 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 1.444)

Required Performance: Win by ~72 runs when batting first, or with ~4 overs to spare when chasing

NRR Status: Current -0.934 vs Target 0.510 (gap: 1.444)

Required Performance: Win by ~72 runs when batting first, or with ~4 overs to spare when chasing

Data last updated: 5/8/2026, 5:09:02 PM