What are SRH's chances of qualifying for the IPL 2025 playoffs?

SRH
5W 3L 0NR (#4)
Odds: 77.7%

Path to Qualification - Win:

5/6remaining

Gap to Target: 10 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

4/6remaining
31.3%chance

Possible with strong finish in remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs RCB(#67 on 22 May 2026)
  • KEYvs MI(#41 on 29 Apr 2026)
  • OPPvs PBKS(#49 on 06 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)

Want to see how specific match results change the playoff picture? Try the interactive predictor!

What are the qualification chances of other teams?

PBKS
6W 1L 1NR (#1)
Odds: 93.5%

Path to Qualification - Win:

4/6remaining

Gap to Target: 7 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

2/6remaining
67.5%chance

Strong chance with good results in remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs RCB(#61 on 17 May 2026)
  • KEYvs MI(#58 on 14 May 2026)
  • KEYvs LSG(#68 on 23 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
RCB
6W 2L 0NR (#2)
Odds: 92.1%

Path to Qualification - Win:

4/6remaining

Gap to Target: 8 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

3/6remaining
61.0%chance

Strong chance with good results in remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs PBKS(#61 on 17 May 2026)
  • 4PTvs SRH(#67 on 22 May 2026)
  • KEYvs LSG(#50 on 07 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
RR
6W 3L 0NR (#3)
Odds: 83.8%

Path to Qualification - Win:

4/5remaining

Gap to Target: 8 points

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

3/5remaining
33.1%chance

Possible with strong finish in remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • KEYvs LSG(#64 on 19 May 2026)
  • KEYvs MI(#69 on 24 May 2026)
  • STDvs DC(#43 on 01 May 2026)
Must-win (Weak Opp)
Regular Stakes
NRR Status: Current 0.617 vs Target 0.815 (gap: 0.198)
Required Performance: Win by ~8 runs when batting first, or with ~1 overs to spare when chasing
GT
4W 4L 0NR (#5)
Odds: 22.9%

Path to Qualification - Win:

6/6remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

5/6remaining
4.8%chance

Not realistic with current standings

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs CSK(#66 on 21 May 2026)
  • OPPvs RCB(#42 on 30 Apr 2026)
  • OPPvs PBKS(#46 on 03 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 3+
RCB: Lose 3+
RR: Lose 2+
SRH: Lose 2+
NRR Status: Current -0.475 vs Target 0.815 (gap: 1.290)
Required Performance: Win by ~43 runs when batting first, or with ~3 overs to spare when chasing
CSK
3W 5L 0NR (#6)
Odds: 14.8%

Path to Qualification - Win:

6/6remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

6/6remaining
1.0%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs DC(#48 on 05 May 2026)
  • 4PTvs GT(#66 on 21 May 2026)
  • OPPvs SRH(#63 on 18 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 4+
RCB: Lose 4+
RR: Lose 3+
SRH: Lose 3+
GT: Lose 2+
DC: Lose 1+
MI: Lose 1+
NRR Status: Current -0.121 vs Target 0.815 (gap: 0.936)
Required Performance: Win by ~31 runs when batting first, or with ~2 overs to spare when chasing
DC
3W 5L 0NR (#7)
Odds: 5.5%

Path to Qualification - Win:

6/6remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

6/6remaining
0.6%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs CSK(#48 on 05 May 2026)
  • 4PTvs KKR(#51 on 08 May 2026)
  • 4PTvs KKR(#70 on 24 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 4+
RCB: Lose 4+
RR: Lose 3+
SRH: Lose 3+
GT: Lose 2+
CSK: Lose 1+
MI: Lose 1+
NRR Status: Current -1.060 vs Target 0.815 (gap: 1.875)
Required Performance: Win by ~63 runs when batting first, or with ~4 overs to spare when chasing
KKR
2W 5L 1NR (#8)
Odds: 5.1%

Path to Qualification - Win:

6/6remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

6/6remaining
0.4%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs DC(#51 on 08 May 2026)
  • 4PTvs MI(#65 on 20 May 2026)
  • 4PTvs DC(#70 on 24 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 5+
RCB: Lose 4+
RR: Lose 3+
SRH: Lose 3+
GT: Lose 2+
CSK: Lose 1+
DC: Lose 1+
MI: Lose 1+
NRR Status: Current -0.751 vs Target 0.815 (gap: 1.566)
Required Performance: Win by ~52 runs when batting first, or with ~3 overs to spare when chasing
MI
2W 5L 0NR (#9)
Odds: 4.0%

Path to Qualification - Win:

7/7remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

7/7remaining
0.4%chance

Requires winning all remaining matches

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs LSG(#47 on 04 May 2026)
  • 4PTvs KKR(#65 on 20 May 2026)
  • OPPvs SRH(#41 on 29 Apr 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 4+
RCB: Lose 4+
RR: Lose 3+
SRH: Lose 3+
GT: Lose 2+
CSK: Lose 1+
DC: Lose 1+
NRR Status: Current -0.736 vs Target 0.815 (gap: 1.551)
Required Performance: Win by ~44 runs when batting first, or with ~3 overs to spare when chasing
LSG
2W 6L 0NR (#10)
Odds: 0.7%

Path to Qualification - Win:

6/6remaining

Winning all remaining games may not be enough — qualification also depends on other results.

Path to Top 2 Finish - Win:

6/6remaining
0.0%chance

Top 2 finish not possible without other favourable results

Key Matchups

  • 4PTvs MI(#47 on 04 May 2026)
  • OPPvs RCB(#50 on 07 May 2026)
  • OPPvs CSK(#53 on 10 May 2026)
4-point game (Direct Rival)
Opportunity (Strong Opp)

External Dependencies

PBKS: Lose 5+
RCB: Lose 5+
RR: Lose 4+
SRH: Lose 4+
GT: Lose 3+
CSK: Lose 2+
DC: Lose 2+
KKR: Lose 1+
MI: Lose 2+
NRR Status: Current -1.106 vs Target 0.815 (gap: 1.921)
Required Performance: Win by ~64 runs when batting first, or with ~4 overs to spare when chasing
Data last updated: 4/28/2026, 5:31:38 PM